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Livingston vs Arbroath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livingston host Arbroath in the Championship. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Livingston at 1.59 goals for, 1.24 against; Arbroath at 0.93 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Livingston slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 0.94) back Livingston to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Livingston
15%
Draws
26%
Arbroath
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livingston come out ahead of Arbroath on wins alone.
  • Livingston are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Arbroath
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Livingston
1:0
Jul 5, 2021 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Arbroath
4:0
Jul 16, 2014 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Livingston
0:3
Jul 30, 2011 League Cup
Livingston vs Arbroath
6:0
Apr 16, 1999 League One
Arbroath vs Livingston
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 85 / 100
Arbroath 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Arbroath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Livingston's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Arbroath has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Livingston remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Arbroath
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
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Arbroath

(Away)
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2
Morton
03 Oct
Partick
3 : 0
Arbroath
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1
Queen's Park
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 9 7 1 1 12:4 22
2 Raith 10 6 2 2 15:6 20
3 Partick 9 5 3 1 10:3 18
4 Livingston 10 4 1 5 14:11 13
5 Dunfermline 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
6 Inverness 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
7 Ayr 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
8 Arbroath 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
9 Queen's Park 10 2 1 7 6:16 7
10 Morton 10 1 1 8 7:18 4
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)