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Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Livingston Logo

Livingston

1 - 4
FT
Kilmarnock Logo

Kilmarnock

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
May S.
Assist: McKay B.
24' Event
Hugill J.
Assist: Thompson D.
31'
Danso E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Livingston and Kilmarnock finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Livingston
30%
Draws
29%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Livingston haven't matched Kilmarnock's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Livingston a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Kilmarnock
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premiership
Livingston vs Kilmarnock
1:4
Mar 21, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Livingston
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Premiership
Livingston vs Kilmarnock
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Livingston
2:2
Jul 16, 2025 League Cup
Kilmarnock vs Livingston
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer May S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugill J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clescenco N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 85 / 100
Kilmarnock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livingston's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kilmarnock conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Livingston went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Kilmarnock
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
Page 1 of 6

Kilmarnock

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)