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Livorno U20 vs Modena U20

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Primavera - Group A 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livorno U20 play Modena U20 in the Primavera - Group A 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Livorno U20 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Modena U20 averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Livorno U20 won 0, Modena U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 25, 2012 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Livorno U20 and 1.44 for Modena U20. This points to a Livorno U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Livorno U20
27%
Draws
30%
Modena U20
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Livorno U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Livorno U20 picked up more points recently compared to Modena U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Livorno U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Modena U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livorno U20 Modena U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Livorno U20 vs Modena U20
1:1
Oct 15, 2011 Primavera - Group A
Modena U20 vs Livorno U20
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno U20 42 / 100
Modena U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livorno U20 Modena U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Livorno U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Livorno U20 attacking → ← attacking Modena U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livorno U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Modena U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Livorno U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Modena U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 20
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventus U2026174567:3155
2Torino U2026147538:2349
3Fiorentina U2026139445:2348
4Genoa U20261110539:2943
5Sampdoria U2026118744:3441
6Livorno U2026117846:4240
7Empoli U20261241035:3940
8Novara U2026811744:3535
9Parma U2026961140:4533
10Cagliari U2026781133:4629
11Sassuolo U20266101036:4328
12Siena U20264101234:3822
13Modena U2026471521:4519
14Grosseto U2026332018:6712