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Livorno vs Empoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Regazzetti S.
Own Goal
66' Event
Aramu M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Livorno and Empoli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Livorno
15%
Draws
26%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Empoli haven't matched Livorno's recent run of results.
  • Livorno are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Livorno Clean Sheet 68%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livorno Empoli
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Livorno vs Empoli
1:1
Jul 31, 2020 Serie B
Livorno vs Empoli
0:2
Dec 29, 2019 Serie B
Empoli vs Livorno
1:1
Jun 2, 2013 Serie B
Livorno vs Empoli
1:0
May 29, 2013 Serie B
Empoli vs Livorno
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Aramu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Empoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 86 / 100
Empoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livorno Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livorno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Empoli conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Livorno scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Livorno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Empoli
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Livorno

(Home)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
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Empoli

(Away)
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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