Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 Stadio Armando Picchi

Livorno

2 - 1

Fulgens Foligno

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Panaioli L.

47'

Luci A.

(Penalty)

90'

Bonassi L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Livorno in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Livorno

20%

Draws

38%

Fulgens Foligno

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Fulgens Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Livorno.
Win probability leans Livorno's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%

Livorno Clean Sheet 19%

Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Livorno	Fulgens Foligno
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	13	15
Draws	9	8
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Livorno vs Fulgens Foligno

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Fulgens Foligno vs Livorno

Possession: 48% - 60% Cards: 4 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonassi L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Fulgens Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Panaioli L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 42 / 100

Fulgens Foligno 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Livorno Fulgens Foligno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Livorno scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Fulgens Foligno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Livorno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Livorno	34	21	9	4	74:44	72
2	Fulgens Foligno	34	17	9	8	61:44	60
3	Seravezza Pozzi	34	16	11	7	53:39	59
4	Ghiviborgo	34	17	4	13	65:57	55
5	Orvietana	34	15	8	11	44:41	53
6	Siena	34	14	10	10	35:32	52
7	Grosseto	34	13	11	10	39:34	50
8	Ostiamare	34	12	9	13	49:53	45
9	Poggibonsi	34	12	7	15	32:36	43
10	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	11	10	13	26:26	43
11	Montevarchi	34	9	14	11	36:39	41
12	Flaminia	34	10	10	14	42:43	40
13	Follonica Gavorrano	34	10	10	14	40:45	40
14	Terranuova Traiana	34	8	15	11	34:47	39
15	Figline	34	9	11	14	29:33	38
16	Sporting Trestina	34	9	11	14	35:45	38
17	Sangiovannese	34	9	9	16	30:38	36
18	Fezzanese	34	6	8	20	35:63	26