Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livorno vs Pianese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gabbiani G.
Assist: Aramu M.
19'
Bertini M.
45' Event
Gabbiani G.
Assist: Haas N.

AI Match Summary

Livorno in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Livorno
35%
Draws
25%
Pianese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pianese haven't matched Livorno's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Livorno a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Livorno Clean Sheet 68%
Pianese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livorno Pianese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Pianese
3:2
Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Pianese
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Livorno
2:1
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Pianese
1:1
Nov 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Livorno
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabbiani G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bacciardi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ianesi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 68 / 100
Pianese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livorno Pianese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livorno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Livorno scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pianese has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Livorno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Pianese
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Livorno

(Home)
11 Oct
Forli FC
1 : 1
Livorno
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
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Pianese

(Away)
10 Oct
Ostiamare
0 : 0
Pianese
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1
Ravenna
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
4 Sassari Torres 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
5 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
6 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
7 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
8 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
13 Atalanta U23 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)