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Livorno vs Reggiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno
Livorno Logo

Livorno

3 - 1
FT
Reggiana Logo

Reggiana

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Bacciardi A.
45' Event
Portanova M.
65' Event
Malotti M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Livorno
20%
Draws
40%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livorno come out ahead of Reggiana on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Livorno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Livorno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Livorno Clean Sheet 68%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livorno Reggiana
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.3 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Livorno vs Reggiana
3:1
Jun 4, 2017 Serie C - Group A
Reggiana vs Livorno
2:2
May 31, 2017 Serie C - Group A
Livorno vs Reggiana
1:2
Feb 10, 2002 Lega Pro C1/A
Livorno vs Reggiana
3:0
Oct 6, 2001 Lega Pro C1/A
Reggiana vs Livorno
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacciardi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malotti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Reggiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Portanova M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 41 / 100
Reggiana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livorno Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livorno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Livorno's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Reggiana has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Livorno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Reggiana
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Livorno

(Home)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Reggiana

(Away)
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -