Sport Picks
Livorno vs Sassari Torres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group B Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno 
Match Events
30'
30'
Di Stefano L.
Assist: Pennington N.
45'
45'
Di Carmine S.
(Penalty)
74'
74'
Sub
Bacciardi A. In: Peralta D.
Out: Bacciardi A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B game between Livorno and Sassari Torres finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livorno.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sassari Torres
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Sassari Torres's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Livorno have produced (1.32).
- Win probability leans Livorno's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Livorno Clean Sheet 20%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Livorno | Sassari Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Sassari Torres
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Livorno
3:1
Nov 24, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Sassari Torres
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sassari Torres vs Livorno
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Livorno Compare
Top Goalscorer Mawete J. C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Sassari Torres Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Stefano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Livorno 42 / 100
Sassari Torres 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Livorno Sassari Torres
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Livorno found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Sassari Torres conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Livorno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Livorno VS Sassari Torres
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Livorno
(Home) 03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1 Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1 Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
24 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 4
Sassari Torres
(Away) 04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0 Vado
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
24 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Sassari Torres
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17:4 | 25 |
| 2 | Grosseto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 17 |
| 4 | Sassari Torres | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Livorno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Perugia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Guidonia 1937 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Campobasso | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Pescara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Forli FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 10 |
| 12 | Ostiamare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 13 | Atalanta U23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Vado | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Pianese | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 17 | Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Latina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:19 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
