Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Armando Picchi

Livorno

2 - 1

Vis Pesaro

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Di Carmine S.

(Penalty)

16'

Pucciarelli M.

27'

Sub

Gentile D. In: Bonassi L.

Out: Gentile D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Livorno and Vis Pesaro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Livorno

30%

Draws

34%

Vis Pesaro

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Livorno come out ahead of Vis Pesaro on wins alone.
Win probability leans Livorno's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Livorno Clean Sheet 17%

Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Livorno	Vis Pesaro
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	9
Draws	6	9
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group B

Livorno vs Vis Pesaro

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sep 14, 2025 Serie C - Group B

Vis Pesaro vs Livorno

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Malagrida L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Vis Pesaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Stabile D. P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 36 / 100

Vis Pesaro 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Livorno Vis Pesaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Livorno scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Vis Pesaro let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Vis Pesaro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Vis Pesaro

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arezzo	36	24	8	4	64:24	80
2	Ascoli	36	23	8	5	63:23	77
3	Ravenna	36	22	7	7	50:30	73
4	Campobasso	36	17	10	9	49:37	59
5	Juventus U23	36	14	11	11	46:43	53
6	Pianese	36	11	17	8	37:34	50
7	Pineto	36	13	11	12	42:45	50
8	Gubbio	36	11	15	10	31:32	48
9	Ternana	36	14	11	11	44:40	48
10	Vis Pesaro	36	11	13	12	38:36	46
11	Livorno	36	12	7	17	39:51	43
12	Forli FC	36	10	10	16	41:52	40
13	Carpi	36	10	10	16	35:48	40
14	Perugia	36	8	14	14	38:44	38
15	Guidonia 1937	36	8	14	14	30:36	38
16	Sambenedettese	36	8	13	15	30:37	37
17	Sassari Torres	36	6	18	12	32:45	36
18	Bra	36	6	14	16	37:54	32
19	US Pontedera	36	3	11	22	27:62	20
20	Rimini	0	0	0	0	0:0	0