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Livyi Bereg vs FC Chernihiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Trialist
80' Event
Henrique D.
81' Event
Shastal D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Livyi Bereg and FC Chernihiv finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livyi Bereg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Livyi Bereg
20%
Draws
34%
FC Chernihiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livyi Bereg come out ahead of FC Chernihiv on wins alone.
  • Model gives Livyi Bereg a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 20%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg FC Chernihiv
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Livyi Bereg vs FC Chernihiv
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Livyi Bereg
4:0
Nov 12, 2025 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs FC Chernihiv
1:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Livyi Bereg vs FC Chernihiv
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Livyi Bereg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shastal D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 49 / 100
FC Chernihiv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg FC Chernihiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livyi Bereg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Livyi Bereg scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

FC Chernihiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Livyi Bereg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS FC Chernihiv
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Livyi Bereg

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
29 Aug
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
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FC Chernihiv

(Away)
11 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1
FC Chernihiv
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4
FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
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