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Livyi Bereg vs UCSA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sabiyev D.
18'
Petko S.
22' Event
Emere A.

AI Match Summary

Livyi Bereg in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livyi Bereg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Livyi Bereg
30%
Draws
23%
UCSA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Livyi Bereg lately — more wins on the board than UCSA.
  • Livyi Bereg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Livyi Bereg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 68%
UCSA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg UCSA
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs UCSA
3:1
Oct 20, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Livyi Bereg
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Livyi Bereg vs UCSA
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosovskyi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galoyan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Emere A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 77 / 100
UCSA 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg UCSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livyi Bereg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Livyi Bereg's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

UCSA let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Livyi Bereg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS UCSA
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Livyi Bereg

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
29 Aug
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
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UCSA

(Away)
04 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 : 2
UCSA
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
20 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 0
UCSA
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1
UCSA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)