Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ljubljana Svoboda vs Zidgrad Idrija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

66'
Vilar C.
66'
Vilar C.
83' Event
Jereb R.

AI Match Summary

Zidgrad Idrija in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zidgrad Idrija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ljubljana Svoboda
15%
Draws
64%
Zidgrad Idrija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ljubljana Svoboda haven't matched Zidgrad Idrija's recent run of results.
  • Zidgrad Idrija are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zidgrad Idrija have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ljubljana Svoboda Clean Sheet 10%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljubljana Svoboda Zidgrad Idrija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Zidgrad Idrija
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Ljubljana Svoboda
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Zidgrad Idrija
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljubljana Svoboda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Zidgrad Idrija Compare

Top Goalscorer Jereb R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljubljana Svoboda 14 / 100
Zidgrad Idrija 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljubljana Svoboda Zidgrad Idrija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zidgrad Idrija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Ljubljana Svoboda's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zidgrad Idrija has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Ljubljana Svoboda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljubljana Svoboda VS Zidgrad Idrija
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljubljana Svoboda

(Home)
10 Oct
Ljubljana Svoboda
1 : 0
Skofja Loka
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
19 Sept
Dob
4 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
Page 1 of 6

Zidgrad Idrija

(Away)
10 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 0
Tolmin
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 3
Dob
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 9 9 0 0 40:6 27
2 Dob 9 6 2 1 22:7 20
3 Zidgrad Idrija 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
4 Sencur 9 4 4 1 17:11 16
5 Litija 9 4 3 2 16:8 15
6 Tolmin 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
7 Rudar Trbovlje 9 4 1 4 13:19 13
8 Skofja Loka 9 3 3 3 15:18 12
9 Adria Miren 9 3 1 5 19:17 10
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Ziri 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
12 Fama Vipava 9 2 0 7 14:41 6
13 Ljubljana Svoboda 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
14 Sobec Lesce 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)