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Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Pustinek V.
37' Event
Marcun L.
90' Event
de Souza N.

AI Match Summary

Ljutomer in this 3. SNL - East matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ljutomer
20%
Draws
48%
Sampion Celje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sampion Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ljutomer lately — more wins on the board than Sampion Celje.
  • Model gives Ljutomer a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 14%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Sampion Celje
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
3:0
May 24, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Ljutomer
1:2
May 4, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Ljutomer
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljutomer Compare

Top Goalscorer Pustinek V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcun L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sampion Celje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 41 / 100
Sampion Celje 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Sampion Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ljutomer scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sampion Celje conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Sampion Celje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS Sampion Celje
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
03 Oct
Race
2 : 0
Ljutomer
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
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Sampion Celje

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Videm
1 : 0
Sampion Celje
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 8 6 2 0 24:11 20
2 NK Smartno 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
3 Fuzinar 8 5 1 2 27:20 16
4 NK Ormoz 8 5 1 2 21:14 16
5 Podvinci 9 4 2 3 15:17 14
6 Hajdina 9 3 4 2 16:15 13
7 NK Carda Martjanci 8 3 3 2 20:15 12
8 Korotan Prevalje 8 2 5 1 13:11 11
9 SD Videm 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
10 Race 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
11 Ljutomer 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
12 Dobrovce 8 2 0 6 11:23 6
13 Sampion Celje 8 1 1 6 11:19 4
14 Limbus-Pekre 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
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