Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LKS Lodz vs Pogon Siedlce

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Jakubik D.
Own Goal
10'
Sub
Bobek A. In: Bomba L.
Out: Bobek A.
12'
Rudol S.

AI Match Summary

LKS Lodz in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored LKS Lodz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
LKS Lodz
20%
Draws
38%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: LKS Lodz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce haven't matched LKS Lodz's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on LKS Lodz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lodz Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz
1:1
May 2, 2026 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Pogon Siedlce
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Pogon Siedlce
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Piasecki F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wysokinski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lodz 42 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lodz Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LKS Lodz scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Pogon Siedlce has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

LKS Lodz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lodz VS Pogon Siedlce
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lodz

(Home)
25 Jul
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
17 Jul
Wisla Plock
3 : 0
LKS Lodz
11 Jul
LKS Lodz
2 : 2
Unia Skierniewice
04 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
01 Jul
LKS Lodz
0 : 4
Dinamo Bucuresti
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
25 Jul
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3
Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423
Promotion - Ekstraklasa (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Main)