Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Lomzy, Lomza
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
LKS Lomza
15%
Draws
73%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MKS Mlawa lately — more wins on the board than LKS Lomza.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on MKS Mlawa taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • LKS Lomza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 12%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa
0:0
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs LKS Lomza
0:1
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs LKS Lomza
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 27 / 100
MKS Mlawa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MKS Mlawa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lomza's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: MKS Mlawa conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

MKS Mlawa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS MKS Mlawa
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lomza

(Home)
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 Aug
LKS Lodz II
4 : 3
LKS Lomza
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MKS Mlawa

(Away)
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3
MKS Mlawa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Suwalki 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
4 Pelikan 10 6 1 3 16:12 19
5 Plock II 10 5 3 2 22:17 18
6 Swit Mazowiecki 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
10 Widzew Lodz II 9 4 1 4 20:17 13
11 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 4 1 5 20:21 13
12 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Olimpia Zambrow 10 3 2 5 20:26 11
14 Olimpia Elblag 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
15 MKS Mlawa 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
16 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
17 Lidzbark Warmimski 10 1 3 6 14:21 6
18 LKS Lomza 10 0 3 7 10:23 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)