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LKS Lomza vs Wasilkow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Lomzy
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dziegielewski D.
42' Event
Mazurek A.
55' Event
Niewiadomski K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between LKS Lomza and Wasilkow finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LKS Lomza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
LKS Lomza
6%
Draws
4%
Wasilkow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: LKS Lomza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LKS Lomza come out ahead of Wasilkow on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on LKS Lomza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors LKS Lomza here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 68%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza Wasilkow
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Wasilkow
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs LKS Lomza
0:2
Nov 14, 2015 III Liga - Group V
LKS Lomza vs Wasilkow
4:1
Aug 8, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Wasilkow vs LKS Lomza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziegielewski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niewiadomski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurek A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 95 / 100
Wasilkow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza Wasilkow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lomza found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Wasilkow has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

LKS Lomza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS Wasilkow
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315