Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LKS Lomza vs Wasilkow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Lomzy, Lomza
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dziegielewski D.
42' Event
Mazurek A.
55' Event
Niewiadomski K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between LKS Lomza and Wasilkow finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LKS Lomza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
LKS Lomza
30%
Draws
47%
Wasilkow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wasilkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LKS Lomza come out ahead of Wasilkow on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors LKS Lomza here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 20%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza Wasilkow
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.63 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Wasilkow
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs LKS Lomza
0:2
Nov 14, 2015 III Liga - Group V
LKS Lomza vs Wasilkow
4:1
Aug 8, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Wasilkow vs LKS Lomza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziegielewski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niewiadomski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurek A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 32 / 100
Wasilkow 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza Wasilkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wasilkow conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: LKS Lomza scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Difficult form: Wasilkow registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS Wasilkow
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lomza

(Home)
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 Aug
LKS Lodz II
4 : 3
LKS Lomza
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Wasilkow

(Away)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)