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Llacuabamba vs ADA Jaen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Segura J. In: Rossi E.
Out: Segura J.
49'
Sub
Vilchez J. In: Urrutia B.
Out: Vilchez J.
55' Event
Zarate M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Llacuabamba and ADA Jaen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llacuabamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Llacuabamba
35%
Draws
44%
ADA Jaen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llacuabamba come out ahead of ADA Jaen on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 23%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba ADA Jaen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Llacuabamba
0:0
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Llacuabamba
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs ADA Jaen
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Llacuabamba
1:1
May 17, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs ADA Jaen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llacuabamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarate M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

ADA Jaen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 37 / 100
ADA Jaen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba ADA Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llacuabamba scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Llacuabamba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

ADA Jaen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS ADA Jaen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

ADA Jaen

(Away)
07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)