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Llacuabamba vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llacuabamba host San Marcos in the Liga 2. Llacuabamba go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Llacuabamba at 1.5 goals for, 1 against; San Marcos at 0.33 for, 2.43 against. Past meetings favor Llacuabamba slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward Llacuabamba. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Llacuabamba
30%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Llacuabamba have won more games recently than San Marcos.
  • Llacuabamba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba San Marcos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0.33
Goals Conceded 1 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
3:0
May 2, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
0:3
May 31, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 85 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

San Marcos's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Llacuabamba scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS San Marcos
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
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San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)