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Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Llacuabamba Logo

Llacuabamba

3 - 0
FT
U. San Martin Logo

U. San Martin

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Segura J.
20'
Reyes J.
25'
Leudo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Llacuabamba in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llacuabamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Llacuabamba
35%
Draws
35%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Llacuabamba have won more games recently than U. San Martin.
  • Llacuabamba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 19%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba U. San Martin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
4:1
Oct 6, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llacuabamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguero J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

U. San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 85 / 100
U. San Martin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba U. San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llacuabamba scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: U. San Martin conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Llacuabamba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS U. San Martin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

U. San Martin

(Away)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)