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Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llacuabamba host U. San Martin in the Liga 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. U. San Martin have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Llacuabamba have conceded 0.38 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Llacuabamba have won 2 to U. San Martin's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.00) point toward Llacuabamba. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Llacuabamba
40%
Draws
29%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Llacuabamba have won more games recently than U. San Martin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 20%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba U. San Martin
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
4:1
Oct 6, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
1:1
Oct 2, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 32 / 100
U. San Martin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba U. San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llacuabamba scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: U. San Martin conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Llacuabamba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS U. San Martin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0
Llacuabamba
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
Llacuabamba
15 Jun
Llacuabamba
2 : 2
Cajamarca
01 Jun
Pirata
3 : 1
Llacuabamba
24 May
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
AD Cantolao
Page 1 of 6

U. San Martin

(Away)
20 Jun
AD Cantolao
4 : 3
U. San Martin
13 Jun
U. San Martin
2 : 2
Sport Boys
31 May
AD Cantolao
0 : 4
U. San Martin
23 May
U. San Martin
0 : 1
Union Comercio
17 May
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba961214:419
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Carlos Mannucci952211:717
4Pirata851213:716
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen81525:68
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao91269:185
9San Marcos50051:170
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC945012:617
2Tacna Heroica943210:815
3Alianza Huanuco942312:914
4Santos FC942310:914
5Sport Huancayo 293338:912
6Ayacucho92437:810
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas91534:68
9Binacional91357:156
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)