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Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llacuabamba host Union Comercio in the Liga 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Llacuabamba have averaged 1.32 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Union Comercio's 1.39 scored and 0.74 conceded. Head-to-head, Llacuabamba have won 0 to Union Comercio's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Union Comercio. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Llacuabamba
35%
Draws
40%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Comercio come out ahead of Llacuabamba on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Union Comercio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 20%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba Union Comercio
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba
0:0
Jul 31, 2022 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
0:3
May 1, 2022 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba
2:0
Sep 21, 2021 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
0:2
Jul 21, 2021 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 36 / 100
Union Comercio 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llacuabamba scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Llacuabamba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Union Comercio conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS Union Comercio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
01 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
U. San Martin
19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0
Llacuabamba
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 6

Union Comercio

(Away)
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0
AD Cantolao
25 Jul
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 0
Union Comercio
27 Jun
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 12 7 4 1 14:3 25
2 Llacuabamba 12 7 2 3 17:6 23
3 Pirata 13 6 3 4 20:16 21
4 Carlos Mannucci 13 6 3 4 13:10 21
5 Cesar Vallejo 12 4 4 4 11:10 16
6 U. San Martin 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
7 ADA Jaen 12 2 6 4 9:12 12
8 AD Cantolao 12 1 4 7 11:24 7
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 14 7 4 3 18:11 25
2 Comerciantes FC 14 5 8 1 19:13 23
3 Ayacucho 14 5 4 5 18:14 19
4 Alianza Huanuco 13 5 4 4 17:14 19
5 Sport Huancayo 2 13 5 4 4 12:11 19
6 Union Minas 13 4 6 3 20:10 18
7 Santos FC 13 5 3 5 14:16 18
8 Estudiantil CNI 13 3 4 6 20:16 13
9 Binacional 13 1 3 9 9:42 6
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)