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Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Llacuabamba Logo

Llacuabamba

1 - 1
FT
Union Comercio Logo

Union Comercio

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Guadalupe Q.
33' Event
Goluz Pena B.
36'
Segura J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Llacuabamba and Union Comercio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Llacuabamba
35%
Draws
35%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Union Comercio have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Llacuabamba are scoring more at 1.52.
  • Model gives Llacuabamba a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 20%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba Union Comercio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
1:1
May 17, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba
0:0
Jul 31, 2022 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
0:3
May 1, 2022 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba
2:0
Sep 21, 2021 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llacuabamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Union Comercio Compare

Top Goalscorer Goluz Pena B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 42 / 100
Union Comercio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llacuabamba's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Llacuabamba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Union Comercio conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS Union Comercio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
18 Oct
Llacuabamba
1 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
12 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Union Comercio

(Away)
18 Oct
Ayacucho
1 : 1
Union Comercio
12 Oct
Union Comercio
5 : 0
Ayacucho
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)