Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Cwmbran Celtic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llandrindod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Llandrindod carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Llandrindod taking it.
- Llandrindod have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cwmbran Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Llandrindod Clean Sheet 20%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llandrindod | Cwmbran Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.77 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Llandrindod vs Cwmbran Celtic
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llandrindod 58 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llandrindod Cwmbran Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llandrindod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cwmbran Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Cwmbran Celtic lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Llandrindod found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Cwmbran Celtic
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Llandrindod
(Home) 17 Sept
Trefelin
5 : 0 Llandrindod
09 Nov
Pontypridd United
1 : 0 Llandrindod
19 Oct
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Llandrindod
20 Oct
Llandrindod
1 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
05 Nov
Llantwit Major
1 : 0 Llandrindod
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Llandrindod
1 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
03 Oct
Llandrindod
0 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
11 Apr
Llandrindod
0 : 0 Rhayader
04 Apr
Llandrindod
7 : 0 Rhydymwyn
28 Mar
Llandrindod
0 : 4 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 3
Cwmbran Celtic
(Away) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
24 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
21 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
14 Feb
Llantwit Major
3 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Jan
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
TNS -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Cefn Albion 3
Conwy Borough 5
Aberdare Town 3
Cwmbach Royal Stars 0
Briton Ferry 2
Barry Town 3
Cefn Druids 4
Gresford 0
Bow Street 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 4
Carno FC 0
Berriew FC 1
Rhostyllen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llantwit Fardre 0
Pontypridd United 0
Penybont 2
Garden Village 2
Rhayader 1
Ton Pentre 0
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 1
Knighton Town 2
Caerleon 2
Treharris Athletic 1
Butetown FC 1
Afan Lido 5
Buckley 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 0
Gwalchmai 0
Mold Alexandra 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 3
Corwen 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llanfair United 4
TBD -
TBD -
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Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
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TBD -
Llanelli 6
Panteg 3
Llwydcoed 0
Cambrian United 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Aberaeron 0
Risca United 2
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Goytre Utd 4
Monmouth 2
Undy 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 2
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Town 1
Dinas Powys 4
Llandudno Junction 6
Caersws FC 1
Llanrug 2
Caernarfon 3
Penrhyncoch 5
Aberffraw 0
Waterloo Rovers 1
Trearddur Bay 7
West End 3
Treowen 2
Llandrindod 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
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Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
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TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 5
Prestatyn Sports 0
Pentraeth 0
Holyhead 8
Guilsfield 4
Glantraeth FC 2
Queens Park 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Taffs Well 1
Cwmamman United 2
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/32-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 4
Conwy Borough 1
Aberdare Town 2
Barry Town 7
Cefn Druids 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 2
Rhostyllen 0
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 2
Garden Village 1
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 6
Knighton Town 3
Caerleon 0
Afan Lido 2
Buckley 1
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 5
Llanfair United 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Llanelli 0
Cambrian United 2
Brecon Corinthians 3
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Goytre Utd 1
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Dinas Powys 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 4
Trearddur Bay 0
West End 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Holyhead 4
Guilsfield 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/16-finals
TNS 3
Aberystwyth 0
Denbigh 1
Barry Town 6
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 0
Flint Town 0
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
STM Sports 0
Holywell Town FC 0
Afan Lido 1
Buckley 1
Llandudno FC 0
Prestatyn 0
Connahs Q. 3
Port Talbot 2
Cambrian United 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Caernarfon 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Bangor City 1
Holyhead 2
Guilsfield 3
Cwmamman United 0
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
1/8-finals
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Cefn Druids 0
Newtown 6
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Afan Lido 0
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Port Talbot 3
Caerau Ely 0
Goytre AFC 3
Cwmbran Celtic 5
Bala 3
Holyhead 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Quarter-finals
TNS 1
Newtown 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 2
Port Talbot 2
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Bala 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Semi-finals
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Final
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
