Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llandudno Albion vs St. Asaph Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2018/2019
Fri, Oct 19, 2018
3 - 4
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with St. Asaph advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Llandudno Albion
15%
Draws
28%
St. Asaph
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llandudno Albion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Llandudno Albion haven't matched St. Asaph's recent run of results.
  • Llandudno Albion are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • St. Asaph arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Asaph, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Llandudno Albion Clean Sheet 10%
St. Asaph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llandudno Albion St. Asaph
Matches Played 8 11
Wins 3 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.63 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Llandudno Albion vs St. Asaph
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llandudno Albion 83 / 100
St. Asaph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llandudno Albion St. Asaph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llandudno Albion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llandudno Albion scored in 88% of their last 8 outings.

St. Asaph's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: St. Asaph has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llandudno Albion VS St. Asaph
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Llandudno Albion

(Home)
08 Oct
Llandudno Albion
0 : 3
Buckley
17 Sept
Llangefni
1 : 2
Llandudno Albion
04 Sept
Llandudno Albion
3 : 5
Guilsfield
13 Aug
Llandudno Albion
5 : 1
Llanerchymedd
19 Oct
Llandudno Albion
3 : 4
St. Asaph
Page 1 of 2

St. Asaph

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 6
Bangor 1876
20 Jun
Mold Alexandra
2 : 0
St. Asaph
21 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 2
Llangollen
14 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 1
Prestatyn
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0
Llandudno Junction
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 3
Afan Lido 2
Pencoed 1
Ton Pentre 3
Cwmamman United 4
Dinas Powys 0
Garden Village 1
Blaenrhondda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 2
STM Sports 1
Trefelin 1
Pure Swansea 2
Goytre AFC 2
Radnor Valley 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Flint Town 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Brickfield Rangers 3
Gresford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Penrhyncoch 2
New Brighton Villa 1
Prestatyn 5
Holyhead 4
Corwen 2
Coedpoeth 2
Ruthin Town 3
Cefn Albion 7
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Mold Alexandra 2
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 3
Llantwit Major 1
Penlan Club 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 2
Rhostyllen 0
Llandudno Amateurs 2
Nantlle Vale FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sully Sports 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 3
Pwllheli 0
Hawarden Rangers 2
Llanfair United 3
Llay Welfare 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Penycae FC 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Llangefni 2
Borth United 0
Llandudno Albion 3
St. Asaph 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 1
Caerau Ely 0
Cornelly 2
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 5
Port Talbot 0
West End 0
Caldicot 6
Buckley 3
Brymbo 1
Holyhead Town 3
Denbigh 9
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Conwy Borough 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monmouth 4
Undy 3
Taffs Well 1
Ynysddu Welfare 2
Penybont 3
Panteg 1
Llandrindod 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/32-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 1
Ton Pentre 2
Cwmamman United 2
Blaenrhondda 1
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 4
Pure Swansea 3
Goytre AFC 3
Pontypridd United 6
Flint Town 3
Gresford 2
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Prestatyn 6
Holyhead 3
Ruthin Town 1
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor City 6
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 4
Nantlle Vale FC 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
Sully Sports 1
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 4
Llanfair United 1
Llay Welfare 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 9
Llangefni 5
St. Asaph 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 4
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 3
Caldicot 2
Buckley 1
Denbigh 3
Newtown -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Rhyl 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Monmouth 1
Ynysddu Welfare 3
Penybont 2
Aberbargoed Buds 0
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ton Pentre 1
Cwmamman United 3
Aberystwyth 4
Haverfordwest 3
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 0
Bala 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Holyhead 1
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Goytre Utd 0
Guilsfield 2
Connahs Q. 4
TNS 3
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Porthmadog 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llanelli 0
Briton Ferry 2
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 2
Denbigh 1
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 3
Ynysddu Welfare 1
Penybont 1
Barry Town 4
1/8-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Aberystwyth 1
Haverfordwest 0
Bala 4
Caernarfon 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 3
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 2
Barry Town 3
Quarter-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Bala 0
Caernarfon 1
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 8
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 2
Barry Town 3
Semi-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 2
Barry Town 0
Final
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 3