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Llandudno FC vs Connahs Q.

Wales Wales

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llandudno FC play Connahs Q. in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Llandudno FC averaged 2.86 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Connahs Q. averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Llandudno FC won 1, Connahs Q. won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 21, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Llandudno FC and 1.13 for Connahs Q.. This points to a Llandudno FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Llandudno FC
17%
Draws
35%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Llandudno FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Llandudno FC picked up more points recently compared to Connahs Q..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Llandudno FC Clean Sheet 21%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llandudno FC Connahs Q.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 15
Draws 1 8
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 FA Cup
Llandudno FC vs Connahs Q.
2:1
Aug 6, 2021 League Cup
Connahs Q. vs Llandudno FC
2:0
Dec 1, 2018 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Llandudno FC
3:0
Sep 22, 2018 Cymru Premier
Llandudno FC vs Connahs Q.
0:4
Oct 21, 2017 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Llandudno FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llandudno FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maher B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weaver R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llandudno FC 47 / 100
Connahs Q. 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llandudno FC Connahs Q.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Llandudno FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Llandudno FC attacking → ← attacking Connahs Q.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llandudno FC scored in 100% of their last 29 games.

Connahs Q. let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Llandudno FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Connahs Q. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 53
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00