Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanelli vs Bala

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli
Llanelli Logo

Llanelli

0 - 5
FT
Bala Logo

Bala

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ferguson C.
26' Event
White R.
36'
Parsons S. S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Llanelli and Bala finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Llanelli
15%
Draws
76%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bala come out ahead of Llanelli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bala a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bala have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%
Bala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Bala
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
0:5
Feb 27, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Llanelli
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Llanelli
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
0:1
Dec 22, 2018 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarasenko J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 10 / 100
Bala 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Llanelli found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Llanelli stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Bala
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)