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Llanelli vs Neath Athletic

Wales Wales

League Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Llanelli
20%
Draws
64%
Neath Athletic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neath Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Neath Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Neath Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Neath Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 19%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Neath Athletic
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 27 7
Goals Scored 0.69 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2012 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Llanelli
1:5
Mar 9, 2012 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Neath Athletic
1:2
Feb 28, 2012 League Cup
Neath Athletic vs Llanelli
4:2
Feb 15, 2012 League Cup
Llanelli vs Neath Athletic
0:0
Jan 2, 2012 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Llanelli
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 32 / 100
Neath Athletic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Neath Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neath Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Neath Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Neath Athletic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Llanelli's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 7

Neath Athletic

(Away)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Afan Lido 2
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Port Talbot 3
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Neath Athletic -
TNS -
TBD -
Bala 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Bangor City -
TBD -
Prestatyn 2
Newtown 3
Quarter-finals
Afan Lido 2
Port Talbot 0
Llanelli 2
Neath Athletic 4
TNS 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Bangor City 2
Newtown 6
Semi-finals
Afan Lido 3
Neath Athletic 1
TNS 3
Newtown 3
Final
Afan Lido 2
Newtown 1