Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Gibbings B.
19'
19'
Wharton T.
71'
71'
Gibbings B.
AI Match Summary
Llanelli in this FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Pill have won more games recently than Llanelli.
- Win probability leans Llanelli's way, sitting at 80%.
- Pill arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Llanelli, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 16%
Pill Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanelli | Pill |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 8 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 21 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.66 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2024 FA Cup
Llanelli vs Pill
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llanelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Gibbings B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Wharton T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Pill Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanelli 75 / 100
Pill 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanelli Pill
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llanelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Pill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 7 matches.
Difficult form: Pill registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Llanelli found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Llanelli VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanelli
(Home) 28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4 Newport City
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4 Newport City
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5 Bala
20 Mar
Llanelli
1 : 2 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 3
Pill
(Away) 20 Sept
Pill
: Treowen
16 Nov
Llanelli
4 : 0 Pill
19 Oct
Monmouth
2 : 3 Pill
21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
Page 1 of 2
16 Nov
Llanelli
4 : 0 Pill
19 Oct
Monmouth
2 : 3 Pill
21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
12 Nov
Pontardawe
3 : 1 Pill
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
