Sport Picks
Llanelli vs Pontardawe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Llanelli host Pontardawe in the Cymru South. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Llanelli have averaged 0.77 scored and 2.77 conceded recently, against Pontardawe's 1.43 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Llanelli have won 4 to Pontardawe's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2024, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.25, favoring Pontardawe. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Llanelli haven't matched Pontardawe's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pontardawe a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Llanelli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanelli | Pontardawe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 24 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.77 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontardawe let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Llanelli scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Pontardawe's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Llanelli
(Home)Pontardawe
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:21 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:36 | 2 |
