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Llanelli vs Risca United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Wheeler R.
89' Event
Taylor O. P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Llanelli
15%
Draws
85%
Risca United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Risca United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Risca United at 1.5 per game, Llanelli at 1.24.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%
Risca United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Risca United
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2022 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Risca United
1:1
Jul 27, 2021 Cymru South
Risca United vs Llanelli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor O. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wheeler R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 30 / 100
Risca United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Risca United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Risca United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Risca United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Llanelli found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
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Risca United

(Away)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)