Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanelli vs Undy

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bateman C.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Hanbury B.
67' Event
Thompson G.

AI Match Summary

Undy in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Undy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Llanelli
15%
Draws
0%
Undy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llanelli lately — more wins on the board than Undy.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Llanelli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 17%
Undy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Undy
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 6 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 24 24
Goals Scored 1.09 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2022 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Undy
2:3
Sep 11, 2021 Cymru South
Undy vs Llanelli
1:2
Mar 21, 2020 Cymru South
Undy vs Llanelli
0:0
Nov 15, 2019 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Undy
2:2
Feb 24, 2018 Division 1
Llanelli vs Undy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Caramella-Gerrard L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Undy Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanbury B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thompson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 84 / 100
Undy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Undy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llanelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Undy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Undy's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Llanelli scored in 54% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Undy
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 7

Undy

(Away)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)