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Llanera vs CD Colunga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

60' Event
Gonzalez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Llanera and CD Colunga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Llanera
20%
Draws
57%
CD Colunga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Colunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Colunga haven't matched Llanera's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on CD Colunga taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Llanera have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Llanera Clean Sheet 16%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanera CD Colunga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs CD Colunga
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Llanera
1:7
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs CD Colunga
3:2
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Llanera
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs CD Colunga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanera Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CD Colunga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanera 19 / 100
CD Colunga 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanera CD Colunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Colunga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llanera scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CD Colunga has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Llanera went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanera VS CD Colunga
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanera

(Home)
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
Page 1 of 6

CD Colunga

(Away)
03 Oct
L Entregu CF
0 : 0
CD Colunga
26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Covadonga
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4
CD Colunga
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2
CD Colunga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)