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Llanera vs Marino De Luanco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llanera host Marino De Luanco in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Llanera have averaged 1.76 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Marino De Luanco's 1.07 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Marino De Luanco slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Llanera. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Llanera
15%
Draws
51%
Marino De Luanco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marino De Luanco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llanera lately — more wins on the board than Marino De Luanco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Llanera Clean Sheet 16%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanera Marino De Luanco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Llanera vs Marino De Luanco
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Llanera
3:1
Apr 17, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Llanera vs Marino De Luanco
0:2
Nov 28, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Llanera
1:0
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Marino De Luanco
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanera 36 / 100
Marino De Luanco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanera Marino De Luanco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marino De Luanco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llanera scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Marino De Luanco conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Marino De Luanco registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanera VS Marino De Luanco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanera

(Home)
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
Page 1 of 6

Marino De Luanco

(Away)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)