Sport Picks
Llaneros vs Atl. Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio 
Match Events
15'
15'
Mena Y.
Assist: Vasquez J.
24'
24'
Mena Posada H. H.
32'
32'
Vasquez J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Llaneros and Atl. Nacional finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llaneros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atl. Nacional come out ahead of Llaneros on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Llaneros's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Atl. Nacional have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llaneros | Atl. Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Atl. Nacional
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Llaneros
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Atl. Nacional
0:3
May 11, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Llaneros
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llaneros Compare
Top Goalscorer Mena Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castaneda F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Atl. Nacional Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llaneros 34 / 100
Atl. Nacional 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llaneros Atl. Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llaneros's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Atl. Nacional conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Llaneros has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Llaneros VS Atl. Nacional
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Llaneros
(Home) 10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Llaneros
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2 America De Cali
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1 Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2 Llaneros
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2 America De Cali
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2 Deportes Tolima
27 Aug
Llaneros
0 : 2 Millonarios
04 Aug
Llaneros
3 : 1 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Nacional
(Away) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
10 Aug
America De Cali
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
