Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros vs Dep. Pasto

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Jimenez M. S.
30' Event
Estupinan A.
Assist: Perlaza J.
46'
Sub
Goez Y. In: Mancilla H.
Out: Goez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Llaneros and Dep. Pasto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Pasto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Llaneros
11%
Draws
9%
Dep. Pasto
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Llaneros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Llaneros a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dep. Pasto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros Dep. Pasto
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Dep. Pasto
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Dep. Pasto
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pasto vs Llaneros
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Llaneros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dep. Pasto Compare

Top Goalscorer Estupinan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros 86 / 100
Dep. Pasto 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros Dep. Pasto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Llaneros has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Pasto lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros VS Dep. Pasto
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros

(Home)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
12 May
Millonarios
1 : 0
Llaneros
07 May
Llaneros
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
13 May
Dep. Pasto
0 : 2
Deportes Tolima
09 May
Deportes Tolima
1 : 0
Dep. Pasto
03 May
Junior
4 : 3
Dep. Pasto
23 Apr
Dep. Pasto
1 : 2
Santa Fe
17 Apr
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 3
Dep. Pasto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)