Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros vs Dep. Pereira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Our Tip

Match Events

47'
Escobar Salcedo J.
54' Event
Ospina N.
Assist: Vasquez J.
64'
Sub
Montoya J. In: Aguirre M.
Out: Montoya J.

AI Match Summary

Llaneros in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llaneros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Llaneros
20%
Draws
32%
Dep. Pereira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llaneros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Llaneros have won more games recently than Dep. Pereira.
  • Llaneros are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros Dep. Pereira
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.15 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Dep. Pereira
1:0
Jan 16, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Llaneros
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Llaneros
0:0
Apr 1, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Dep. Pereira
2:1
Aug 4, 2019 Primera B
Dep. Pereira vs Llaneros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Ospina N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dep. Pereira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros 68 / 100
Dep. Pereira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros Dep. Pereira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llaneros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Dep. Pereira has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Dep. Pereira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros VS Dep. Pereira
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros

(Home)
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pereira

(Away)
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
16 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)