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Llaneros vs Quindio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Wed, Aug 19, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Quindio have shipped 0.78 goals a game lately, while Llaneros have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.11. Head-to-head, Llaneros have won 3 to Quindio's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.31) back Quindio to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Llaneros
15%
Draws
59%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quindio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quindio lately — more wins on the board than Llaneros.
  • Llaneros are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Quindio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Quindio, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 18%
Quindio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros Quindio
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.11 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Llaneros
1:2
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Colombia
Llaneros vs Quindio
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Primera B
Llaneros vs Quindio
4:2
Oct 30, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Llaneros
0:3
Sep 29, 2024 Primera B
Llaneros vs Quindio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros 36 / 100
Quindio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Quindio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Llaneros remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros VS Quindio
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros

(Home)
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

Quindio

(Away)
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Quindio
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Inter Bogotá 2
Real Cundinamarca 1
Quindio 1
Llaneros 2
Barranquilla 2
Millonarios 1
America De Cali 4
Dep. Pereira 1
Atl. Nacional 3
Dep. Cali 0
Dep. Pasto 1
Ind. Medellin 4
Once Caldas 1
Alianza 0
Santa Fe -
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. -
Quarter-finals
Inter Bogotá -
Llaneros -
Barranquilla -
America De Cali -
Atl. Nacional -
Ind. Medellin -
Once Caldas -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -