Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros vs Santa Fe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llaneros host Santa Fe in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Llaneros at 1.15 goals for, 1.11 against; Santa Fe at 1.44 for, 0.81 against. Head-to-head, Llaneros have won 3 to Santa Fe's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.31, favoring Santa Fe. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Llaneros
15%
Draws
65%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Fe come out ahead of Llaneros on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros Santa Fe
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.15 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Llaneros
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Llaneros
1:3
May 1, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Santa Fe
0:1
Aug 6, 2014 Copa Colombia
Llaneros vs Santa Fe
3:1
Jul 3, 2014 Copa Colombia
Santa Fe vs Llaneros
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros 32 / 100
Santa Fe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Santa Fe let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Llaneros went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros VS Santa Fe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros

(Home)
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe

(Away)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)