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Llaneros W vs Atl. Nacional W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Orozco M.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Gonzalez M.
21' Event
Gonzalez M.
Assist: Robayo L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Llaneros W and Atl. Nacional W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Llaneros W
15%
Draws
73%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Llaneros W haven't matched Atl. Nacional W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atl. Nacional W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Llaneros W Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 23
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:5
May 25, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Llaneros W
0:0
May 11, 2023 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Llaneros W
5:0
Feb 18, 2022 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Atl. Nacional W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros W 10 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros W Atl. Nacional W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Atl. Nacional W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Llaneros W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Atl. Nacional W let in goals in 58% of their last 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros W VS Atl. Nacional W
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros W

(Home)
08 Aug
Llaneros W
1 : 5
Atl. Nacional W
03 Aug
America de Cali W
4 : 1
Llaneros W
25 Jul
Bucaramanga W
3 : 0
Llaneros W
28 May
Llaneros W
1 : 4
Indep. Santa Fe W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Llaneros W
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Atl. Nacional W

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)