Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros W vs Orsomarso W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Reyes S.
(Penalty)
31'
Sub
Torres H. In: Asprilla F.
Out: Torres H.
41' Event
Hernandez H.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Llaneros W and Orsomarso W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Llaneros W
20%
Draws
40%
Orsomarso W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orsomarso W come out ahead of Llaneros W on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Orsomarso W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Llaneros W Clean Sheet 10%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros W Orsomarso W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Orsomarso W
1:1
Mar 2, 2022 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Orsomarso W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Orsomarso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros W 10 / 100
Orsomarso W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros W Orsomarso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orsomarso W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsomarso W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Orsomarso W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Llaneros W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Llaneros W VS Orsomarso W
0.43 Goals Scored 1.5
3.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros W

(Home)
08 Aug
Llaneros W
1 : 5
Atl. Nacional W
03 Aug
America de Cali W
4 : 1
Llaneros W
25 Jul
Bucaramanga W
3 : 0
Llaneros W
28 May
Llaneros W
1 : 4
Indep. Santa Fe W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Llaneros W
Page 1 of 6

Orsomarso W

(Away)
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)