Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Vina A.
28'
28'
Gonzalez Y.
36'
36'
Rubio C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EI San Martin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- EI San Martin have won more games recently than Llanes.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Llanes Clean Sheet 13%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanes | EI San Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Llanes
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs EI San Martin
2:2
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Llanes
1:0
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs EI San Martin
1:0
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Llanes
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Vina A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alvarez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
EI San Martin Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rubio C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanes 31 / 100
EI San Martin 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanes EI San Martin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EI San Martin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llanes scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
EI San Martin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Llanes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Llanes VS EI San Martin
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanes
(Home) 27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1 Llanes
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2 Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1 Llanes
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5 CD Mosconia
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1 Gijon B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2 Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5 CD Mosconia
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1 Gijon B
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3 Langreo
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4 Covadonga
Page 1 of 4
EI San Martin
(Away) 27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2 Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1 EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4 Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0 EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3 EI San Martin
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1 EI San Martin
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0 EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3 EI San Martin
03 May
Gijon B
2 : 0 EI San Martin
19 Apr
CD Colunga
2 : 3 EI San Martin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
