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Llanes vs Llanera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Otia P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Llanes and Llanera finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Llanes
15%
Draws
69%
Llanera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llanera come out ahead of Llanes on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Llanera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Llanera here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%
Llanera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes Llanera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 26
Draws 11 3
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.4 2
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Llanera
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Llanes
2:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Llanera
1:7
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Llanes
5:1
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Llanes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Llanera Compare

Top Goalscorer Otia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 10 / 100
Llanera 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes Llanera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llanera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Llanes scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Llanera let in goals in 30% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Llanes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS Llanera
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
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Llanera

(Away)
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanera
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Llanera
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)