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Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Evans C.
43' Event
Williams R.
52' Event
Worton A.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2023/2024 game between Llanidloes Town and Porthmadog finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Llanidloes Town
15%
Draws
85%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porthmadog come out ahead of Llanidloes Town on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Porthmadog taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Porthmadog have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 17%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanidloes Town Porthmadog
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
0:1
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
4:2
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanidloes Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Worton A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanidloes Town 10 / 100
Porthmadog 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanidloes Town Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Porthmadog conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Llanidloes Town scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Porthmadog registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Porthmadog
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanidloes Town

(Home)
30 Apr
Caersws FC
5 : 0
Llanidloes Town
24 Apr
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0
Llanidloes Town
20 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 4
Bangor 1876
13 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 3
Flint Town
06 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 7
Denbigh
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Porthmadog

(Away)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holywell Town FC 30 26 3 1 79:17 81
2 Flint Town 30 25 3 2 94:30 78
3 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 23 5 2 84:28 74
4 Mold Alexandra 30 18 1 11 66:50 55
5 Bangor 1876 30 17 2 11 62:55 53
6 Denbigh 30 15 4 11 71:60 49
7 Ruthin Town 30 12 6 12 58:52 42
8 Guilsfield 30 11 7 12 48:46 40
9 Caersws FC 30 10 9 11 60:53 39
10 Gresford 30 10 7 13 47:54 37
11 Buckley 30 10 6 14 54:60 36
12 Llandudno FC 30 10 1 19 59:80 31
13 Prestatyn 30 7 5 18 39:74 23
14 Porthmadog 30 6 4 20 35:66 22
15 Chirk AAA FC 30 3 4 23 32:82 13
16 Llanidloes Town 30 2 3 25 25:106 9
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)