Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Kellaway G.
39'
39'
Shaw J.
43'
43'
Sklenar L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Penrhyncoch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhyncoch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Penrhyncoch carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Penrhyncoch taking it.
- Penrhyncoch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penrhyncoch, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Llanrhaeadr Clean Sheet 19%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanrhaeadr | Penrhyncoch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 22 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2022 Cymru North
Llanrhaeadr vs Penrhyncoch
0:3
Oct 23, 2021 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Llanrhaeadr
0:0
Jul 17, 2021 League Cup
Llanrhaeadr vs Penrhyncoch
1:4
Nov 30, 2019 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Llanrhaeadr
0:2
Aug 17, 2019 Cymru North
Llanrhaeadr vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llanrhaeadr Compare
Top Goalscorer Sklenar L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Penrhyncoch Compare
Top Goalscorer Shaw J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kellaway G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanrhaeadr 10 / 100
Penrhyncoch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanrhaeadr Penrhyncoch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penrhyncoch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penrhyncoch has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Llanrhaeadr scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Llanrhaeadr stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Penrhyncoch
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanrhaeadr
(Home) 18 Oct
Bala
3 : 1 Llanrhaeadr
21 Sept
Carno FC
0 : 4 Llanrhaeadr
23 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
0 : 3 Buckley
18 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 6 Llanidloes Town
15 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
Page 1 of 6
23 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
0 : 3 Buckley
18 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 6 Llanidloes Town
26 Mar
Llanrhaeadr
0 : 3 Penrhyncoch
19 Mar
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 4 Airbus UK Broughton FC
05 Mar
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 2 Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 3
Penrhyncoch
(Away) 08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0 Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1 Gresford
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2 Penrhyncoch
03 Apr
Denbigh
1 : 0 Penrhyncoch
21 Mar
Flint Mountain
2 : 3 Penrhyncoch
07 Mar
Buckley
0 : 2 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Llanidloes Town 2
Gresford 3
Bangor City 4
Holyhead 0
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Cambrian United 4
Carmarthen Town 1
TBD -
Newtown -
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llandudno FC 4
Denbigh 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Guilsfield 1
TBD -
Buckley -
Llangefni 1
Prestatyn 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Undy -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Pure Swansea -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Llanelli 5
Newport 0
Trefelin 2
Taffs Well 0
Llantwit Major 3
Risca United 4
Llanrhaeadr 1
Penrhyncoch 4
TBD -
TNS -
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Afan Lido 0
Briton Ferry 2
Pontypridd United 3
1/16-finals
Gresford 0
Bangor City 1
Flint Town 1
Bala 2
Cambrian United 2
Newtown 4
Ruthin Town 0
Caernarfon 3
Llandudno FC 0
Connahs Q. 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 3
Cefn Druids 0
Conwy Borough 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Goytre Utd 0
Undy 2
Pure Swansea 1
Aberystwyth 2
Penybont 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Barry Town 5
Llanelli 0
Trefelin 2
Risca United 0
Penrhyncoch 2
TNS 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Pontypridd United 2
1/8-finals
Bangor City 0
Bala 1
Newtown 5
Caernarfon 0
Connahs Q. 6
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Prestatyn 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Haverfordwest 5
Undy 0
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Barry Town 3
Trefelin 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Pontypridd United 3
Quarter-finals
Bala 3
Newtown 1
Connahs Q. 4
Holywell Town FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Barry Town 7
Pontypridd United 1
Semi-finals
Bala 1
Connahs Q. 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 2
Final
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
