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Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llantwit Major host Cardiff Draconians in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Llantwit Major at 1.35 goals for, 1.84 against; Cardiff Draconians at 1.72 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, Llantwit Major have won 0 to Cardiff Draconians's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 26, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.94, favoring Cardiff Draconians. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Llantwit Major
30%
Draws
29%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llantwit Major

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llantwit Major lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff Draconians.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Llantwit Major taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llantwit Major Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.35 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llantwit Major 34 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llantwit Major Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff Draconians conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Llantwit Major scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Llantwit Major went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llantwit Major VS Cardiff Draconians
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Llantwit Major

(Home)
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2
Llantwit Major
17 Oct
Trefelin
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
10 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 1
Pontardawe
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1
Cardiff Draconians
17 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 3
Cardiff Draconians
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)