Sport Picks
Llantwit Major vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Llantwit Major host Newport City in the Cymru South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Newport City have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Llantwit Major have conceded 1.84 and scored 1.35. Head-to-head, Llantwit Major have won 1 to Newport City's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.56, favoring Llantwit Major. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Newport City haven't matched Llantwit Major's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llantwit Major | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newport City let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Llantwit Major found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Llantwit Major stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Llantwit Major
(Home)Newport City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
