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Llantwit Major vs Pure Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gibbings B.
55' Event
Coughlin C.
82' Event
Kelly M.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Llantwit Major and Pure Swansea finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pure Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Llantwit Major
35%
Draws
37%
Pure Swansea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pure Swansea come out ahead of Llantwit Major on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pure Swansea a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llantwit Major Pure Swansea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pure Swansea
0:3
Feb 10, 2023 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Llantwit Major
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pure Swansea
1:0
Dec 11, 2021 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Llantwit Major
3:0
Nov 6, 2021 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pure Swansea
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llantwit Major Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbings B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coughlin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llantwit Major 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llantwit Major Pure Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llantwit Major found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Pure Swansea conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Llantwit Major remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llantwit Major VS Pure Swansea
0.88 Goals Scored 3.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llantwit Major

(Home)
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

Pure Swansea

(Away)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
10 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
11 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
12 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
14 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)