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Llay Welfare vs Buckley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Moore M.
23' Event
Collo J.
57' Event
Knight B.

AI Match Summary

Buckley in this Cymru North 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buckley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Llay Welfare
20%
Draws
46%
Buckley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Llay Welfare haven't matched Buckley's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Llay Welfare Clean Sheet 20%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llay Welfare Buckley
Matches Played 27 36
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.26 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.44 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Cymru North
Llay Welfare vs Buckley
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru North
Buckley vs Llay Welfare
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llay Welfare Compare

Top Goalscorer Collo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Buckley Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knight B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llay Welfare 32 / 100
Buckley 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llay Welfare Buckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llay Welfare scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Buckley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Llay Welfare remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Buckley
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llay Welfare

(Home)
22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0
Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0
Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2
Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2
Guilsfield
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0
Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 6

Buckley

(Away)
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 26 3 1 88:22 81
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 25 3 2 102:30 78
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 3 9 56:41 57
4 Llandudno FC 30 15 4 11 65:60 49
5 Buckley 30 14 5 11 48:47 47
6 Guilsfield 30 13 6 11 59:52 45
7 Flint Mountain 30 13 5 12 68:56 44
8 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 52:48 44
9 Denbigh 30 12 7 11 68:62 43
10 Penrhyncoch 30 11 7 12 48:52 40
11 Gresford 30 11 5 14 44:67 38
12 Caersws FC 30 10 4 16 47:55 34
13 Ruthin Town 30 8 5 17 40:59 29
14 Bangor 1876 30 8 4 18 46:64 28
15 Prestatyn 30 4 1 25 38:105 13
16 Llay Welfare 30 3 5 22 35:84 11
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)