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Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 Camp d'Esports

Cerdanyola del Valles

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lleida play Cerdanyola del Valles in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lleida averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Cerdanyola del Valles averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, Lleida won 1, Cerdanyola del Valles won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Lleida and 0.94 for Cerdanyola del Valles. This points to a Cerdanyola del Valles double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Lleida

35%

Draws

38%

Cerdanyola del Valles

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cerdanyola del Valles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Lleida picked up more points recently compared to Cerdanyola del Valles.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Lleida Clean Sheet 24%

Cerdanyola del Valles Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lleida	Cerdanyola del Valles
Matches Played	24	29
Wins	3	6
Draws	10	15
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	0.75	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.42	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Lleida vs Cerdanyola del Valles

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Cerdanyola del Valles vs Lleida

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Apr 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3

Cerdanyola del Valles vs Lleida

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Dec 10, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3

Lleida vs Cerdanyola del Valles

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Apr 3, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 3

Lleida vs Cerdanyola del Valles

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Cerdanyola del Valles Compare

Top Goalscorer Montalban A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lleida 29 / 100

Cerdanyola del Valles 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lleida Cerdanyola del Valles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cerdanyola del Valles or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lleida attacking → ← attacking Cerdanyola del Valles

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lleida scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Cerdanyola del Valles let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lleida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cerdanyola del Valles lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 33

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.33

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CE Manresa	34	19	9	6	55:32	66
2	CF Badalona	34	17	12	5	43:27	63
3	Cornella	34	17	9	8	50:36	60
4	CF Vilanova	34	15	11	8	38:27	56
5	L Hospitalet	34	16	7	11	55:39	55
6	FE Grama	34	14	12	8	49:35	54
7	FC Lescala	34	12	10	12	51:51	46
8	Peralada	34	11	13	10	45:39	46
9	UE Tona	34	10	15	9	35:31	45
10	CE Europa B	34	12	9	13	44:53	45
11	Montanesa	34	11	9	14	31:39	42
12	Mollerussa	34	9	13	12	39:43	40
13	Vilassar de Mar	34	9	11	14	36:38	38
14	San Cristobal CP	34	8	13	13	39:48	37
15	Cerdanyola del Valles	34	6	16	12	40:53	34
16	Can Vidalet	34	8	9	17	35:53	33
17	UE Vic	34	7	11	16	31:47	32
18	Lleida	34	4	13	17	21:46	25