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Llosetense vs Arenal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Llosetense and Arenal finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Llosetense
35%
Draws
13%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Llosetense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Llosetense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Llosetense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Arenal
Matches Played 43 29
Wins 25 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.93 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Arenal
3:0
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Llosetense
1:2
May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Arenal
4:0
Dec 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Llosetense
1:2
May 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Llosetense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 85 / 100
Arenal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Arenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llosetense scored in 91% of their last 43 outings.

Arenal has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Llosetense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Arenal
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
Page 1 of 9

Arenal

(Away)
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2
Alcudia
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Arenal
1 : 2
Santanyi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)