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Llosetense vs Constancia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llosetense host Constancia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Constancia have shipped 0.68 goals a game lately, while Llosetense have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.94. Head-to-head, Llosetense have won 0 to Constancia's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.38, favoring Constancia. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Llosetense
20%
Draws
40%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Constancia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Llosetense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Constancia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 17%
Constancia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Constancia
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 18 21
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.94 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Constancia
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Llosetense
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Constancia
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Llosetense
3:0
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Constancia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 36 / 100
Constancia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Llosetense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Constancia let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Constancia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
Page 1 of 7

Constancia

(Away)
10 Oct
Constancia
1 : 0
Porreres
03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3
Constancia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 Constancia 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
4 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)