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Lobi vs Doma United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL Aper Aku Stadium, Makurdi
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AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Lobi and Doma United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lobi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lobi
15%
Draws
37%
Doma United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lobi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Doma United come out ahead of Lobi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lobi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lobi Clean Sheet 20%
Doma United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobi Doma United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 NNL
Lobi vs Doma United
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 NNL
Doma United vs Lobi
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 NPFL
Doma United vs Lobi
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 NPFL
Lobi vs Doma United
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 NPFL
Doma United vs Lobi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobi 49 / 100
Doma United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobi Doma United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lobi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lobi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lobi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Doma United conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lobi VS Doma United
0.8 Goals Scored 0.88
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobi

(Home)
28 Mar
City FC Abuja
0 : 1
Lobi
25 Mar
Lobi
1 : 0
Kada Warriors
14 Mar
Mighty Jets
1 : 0
Lobi
07 Mar
Lobi
2 : 0
ABS
28 Feb
Basira
2 : 0
Lobi
Page 1 of 6

Doma United

(Away)
27 Sept
Katsina Utd
2 : 1
Doma United
23 Sept
Doma United
2 : 2
Plateau United
20 Sept
Kano Pillars
4 : 1
Doma United
12 Sept
Doma United
2 : 0
Enyimba International
05 Sept
Inter Lagos
0 : 1
Doma United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)